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walkitout(1) Don't expect to see Big Publishing or "Legacy Publishers" disappear. They will serve gatekeeping, marketing, and other functions, and they will pay for what they do with a stream of cash coming from their pile of contracts controlling their backlist. Basically a whole lot of no change at all.
(2) Do expect to see some scrambling and additional consolidation.
(3) Chain bookstores are obviously becoming a lot less common. A while back, I saw a web page with pictures: "Let's go to the record store." "Let's go to the video store." "Let's go to the book store", and the headline, "2 down, 1 to go".
(4) It has become a much easier world for small publishers including self published authors. Anything ending in -er is a _comparator_. Know what it is easi-er _than_. It still isn't easy. And it may or may not be cheaper.
(5) Books -- pbooks or ebooks -- will be mostly ordered online (and probably mostly ordered from one vendor in particular). Those books -- pbooks or ebooks -- will be fulfilled primarily by Ingram (<-- I'm really shocked by this. _Really_ shocked. The 800 pound gorilla in the room isn't supposed to be _literally_ invisible. I didn't even dig into their textbook initiative.)
(6) If you work for a printing plant that makes books, and that plant isn't run by Ingram Content Group, you should be worried about your job.
IMO, YMMV, etc.
(2) Do expect to see some scrambling and additional consolidation.
(3) Chain bookstores are obviously becoming a lot less common. A while back, I saw a web page with pictures: "Let's go to the record store." "Let's go to the video store." "Let's go to the book store", and the headline, "2 down, 1 to go".
(4) It has become a much easier world for small publishers including self published authors. Anything ending in -er is a _comparator_. Know what it is easi-er _than_. It still isn't easy. And it may or may not be cheaper.
(5) Books -- pbooks or ebooks -- will be mostly ordered online (and probably mostly ordered from one vendor in particular). Those books -- pbooks or ebooks -- will be fulfilled primarily by Ingram (<-- I'm really shocked by this. _Really_ shocked. The 800 pound gorilla in the room isn't supposed to be _literally_ invisible. I didn't even dig into their textbook initiative.)
(6) If you work for a printing plant that makes books, and that plant isn't run by Ingram Content Group, you should be worried about your job.
IMO, YMMV, etc.