It Has Been 40 Days Since I Wrote EPftF
Jul. 17th, 2020 09:44 amAnd let me just say, Fellow USonians, it has definitely been forty days of wandering in the wilderness. There are people out there promising all kinds of shit, both desirable and dire, and I wish I could say the dire stuff being promised was implausible but sadly, not so much.
Also, it has been 40 days of relentlessly finding more ways to increase the spread of C19. We are indeed getting sick and tired of winning!
When I wrote EPftF, I framed the choice as between two options. There was and is an ongoing non-option (Before Times Normal) that people are really having trouble letting go of.
Cue Elsa.
Moving on. Just because they cannot move on does not stop the calendar, and it is the middle of July.
As in the Before Times, we will not have uniformity of strategy for school — not at the school, district, state levels, so, you know, thinking there will be a national strategy is to laugh.
The GOOD NEWS is that the very, very, very USonian desire for individual choice has actually worked in our favor here. I mean, it is a little grim! But we have plenty of people who were “super careful” who decided that around the beginning of July would be a good time to relax their guard who are now sick, so the “super careful” people have now abandoned the hope that we could Get Back to Normal By the Fall. And the super careful people never actually thought that anyway. The strategic thinkers at every level of risk tolerance could always tell that going back to school in the Fall was Not On, because say what you will about the effects of the virus on children, the virus is pretty awful when it comes to older people (risk increases by age, and accelerates as it goes). And I do not know if you have noticed, but schools are not run by children.
Finally, the summer camp experiment has presented results in the form of Kanakuk and some Y camps in Georgia and similar, and no one likes how that turned out.
So while _today_, it is not yet widely understood, as a practical matter, we are done with the decision of whether to go All Remote or Everyone Back to School. We are opting for hybrid, for the most part. Fortunately, the choice factor has ensured that enough people voted for 100% remote that there should be plenty of space in schools and MIGHT be enough available staff to teach some number of kids in schools, some number of days. And they will be the kids whose parents chose for them to be there, thus reducing a lot of the conflict.
Next up: paying for it!
I am going to go for a walk.
I probably will NOT actually write something about the probable mental / emotional impacts of returning to in-person schooling in the fall. It is too depressing, and we are going to be watching it happen around the country to a lot of kids who supposedly Really Need In Person Schooling, and it is just going to be another example of how people who really need stuff wind up getting the short end over and over and over again.
Also, it has been 40 days of relentlessly finding more ways to increase the spread of C19. We are indeed getting sick and tired of winning!
When I wrote EPftF, I framed the choice as between two options. There was and is an ongoing non-option (Before Times Normal) that people are really having trouble letting go of.
Cue Elsa.
Moving on. Just because they cannot move on does not stop the calendar, and it is the middle of July.
As in the Before Times, we will not have uniformity of strategy for school — not at the school, district, state levels, so, you know, thinking there will be a national strategy is to laugh.
The GOOD NEWS is that the very, very, very USonian desire for individual choice has actually worked in our favor here. I mean, it is a little grim! But we have plenty of people who were “super careful” who decided that around the beginning of July would be a good time to relax their guard who are now sick, so the “super careful” people have now abandoned the hope that we could Get Back to Normal By the Fall. And the super careful people never actually thought that anyway. The strategic thinkers at every level of risk tolerance could always tell that going back to school in the Fall was Not On, because say what you will about the effects of the virus on children, the virus is pretty awful when it comes to older people (risk increases by age, and accelerates as it goes). And I do not know if you have noticed, but schools are not run by children.
Finally, the summer camp experiment has presented results in the form of Kanakuk and some Y camps in Georgia and similar, and no one likes how that turned out.
So while _today_, it is not yet widely understood, as a practical matter, we are done with the decision of whether to go All Remote or Everyone Back to School. We are opting for hybrid, for the most part. Fortunately, the choice factor has ensured that enough people voted for 100% remote that there should be plenty of space in schools and MIGHT be enough available staff to teach some number of kids in schools, some number of days. And they will be the kids whose parents chose for them to be there, thus reducing a lot of the conflict.
Next up: paying for it!
I am going to go for a walk.
I probably will NOT actually write something about the probable mental / emotional impacts of returning to in-person schooling in the fall. It is too depressing, and we are going to be watching it happen around the country to a lot of kids who supposedly Really Need In Person Schooling, and it is just going to be another example of how people who really need stuff wind up getting the short end over and over and over again.