http://www.fonerbooks.com/kindle.htm
Really amazing analysis actually, but here's what made me blog so I could take a whack at the author:
"Another interesting thing is that the sales curve suggests (in the reliable section, no less) that Amazon is selling north of 600,000 Kindle eBooks a week. If we stick with the guess of around 600,000 Kindle readers in existence, that would mean that the average Kindle owner buys a book a week. That may be possible, or it could be that a lot of iPhone users are buying Kindle ebooks. If we double our estimate of the number of Kindles sold to 1.2 million, that would lower the Kindle eBook purchase rate to 2 per month per Kindle owner."
Argh! So close! He actually has data that support my hypothesis (kindle buyers are 100+ books a year buyers) -- okay, his data support 50 -- and _he does not believe it_. Shoves it back down to 2 a month, in that two dozen a year range that all the other commentators are using.
None so blind as those...
h/t some blog devoted to kindle news, which I will update with a link to at some point.
Really amazing analysis actually, but here's what made me blog so I could take a whack at the author:
"Another interesting thing is that the sales curve suggests (in the reliable section, no less) that Amazon is selling north of 600,000 Kindle eBooks a week. If we stick with the guess of around 600,000 Kindle readers in existence, that would mean that the average Kindle owner buys a book a week. That may be possible, or it could be that a lot of iPhone users are buying Kindle ebooks. If we double our estimate of the number of Kindles sold to 1.2 million, that would lower the Kindle eBook purchase rate to 2 per month per Kindle owner."
Argh! So close! He actually has data that support my hypothesis (kindle buyers are 100+ books a year buyers) -- okay, his data support 50 -- and _he does not believe it_. Shoves it back down to 2 a month, in that two dozen a year range that all the other commentators are using.
None so blind as those...
h/t some blog devoted to kindle news, which I will update with a link to at some point.