Feb. 17th, 2009

walkitout: (Default)
Insurance works well for events which occur at predictable intervals to arbitrary and unconnected individuals. That's kind of what actuarial science is good at. I'm sure the technical definition is a little different. I always hope that people remember about Portfolio Insurance (and I'm always wrong). I also hope that people remember what happened to homeowners insurance in Florida in the wake of a couple of bad hurricanes (and what is likely to happen to the government of Florida since they're basically insuring everyone's house these days). I'll probably be wrong about that, too.

Over at Calculated Risk, there's an entertaining bit about Mortgage Insurance:

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/02/ratings-cut-for-mortgage-insurers.html

In general, mortgage insurance has been doing comparatively okay, since most of the risk went to the people who bought the securitized mortgages -- which would ultimately be all of us, which is what seems to happen whenever Bad Events happen to Large Numbers of Connected Individuals.

Which is what insurance is _not_ for.
walkitout: (Default)
Many, many (say that about a dozen more times) people have commented on risks to the embryo and the fetus and how the same level of risk is treated differently depending on cultural factors. For example, just about the worst thing that can happen to a fetus or embryo is for mama to experience physical trauma, say, by domestic abuse or a car accident. Really, altho it's a little tricky depending on how you count it (over population, or a particular embryo/fetus -- but it's really bad). Yet while everyone gets all over women who smoke or are even around smoke while pregnant (never mind alcohol, which is even less bad, yet, altho again, depends on a number of factors). But not too many people want to talk about domestic abuse, and nobody talks about car accidents. (Hyperbole alert.) Funny, that.

Over at the NYT, Kolata talks about some recent research on the risks of IVF:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/17/health/17ivf.html?8dpc

Unsurprisingly, we're starting to see some differences in the rates of some birth defects, and there's some suspicion being directed at the methylization process and therefore epigenetic changes. This is a new and rapidly developing area of research, so it is not going to be easy to nail down anything in particular. But it is telling that:

[start quote]Richard G. Rawlins, who directs the in vitro fertilization and assisted reproduction laboratories at the Rush Centers for Advanced Reproductive Care in Chicago, said that when he spoke to patients he never heard questions about growing embryos in the laboratory and the possible consequences.

“I have never had a patient ask me anything” about it, he said, adding, “For that matter, not many doctors have ever asked, either.”[end quote]

I get that by the time someone has reached IVF, there is usually a level of desperation because other methods have failed. And I'm not suggesting that anyone should decide NOT to have IVF because of an elevated birth defect risk, any more than I would suggest that anyone should abort a Down's baby or whatever. Their decision, their life and I'm okay with our tax dollars going to help out. Whatever.

I do, however, have a little concern about some failures in the bio-ethical discussion of IVF. People get whacked about gender selection using IVF, and hypothesize that some day people will be using IVF or similar to get a green-eyed girl or whatever they have set their heart on. Shouldn't _these_ people be incorporating at least hypothetical risk (if we haven't nailed it down because come on, if we tell women not to take unstudied drugs while pregnant, ya gotta figure sticking the baby in a petri dish might have some risk associated with it, right?) into their discussion? I understand that people who are willing to shell out in favor of gender parity in their family might or might not be swayed by discussions of risk, but they _might_ be swayed if they were brought to contemplate the cost and general hassle of, say, Beckwith-Wiedemann syndrome. It seems to me there's a major lapse of rhetoric here, but possibly it just got edited out before it reached the information sources I've run across.

ETA:

http://www.sharedjourney.com/ivf/sex_selection.html

Does not mention risks; some of the methods described involve IVF. Includes a legal/ethical section.

http://www.ivf-infertility.com/infertility/sex_selection.php

Does not mention risks. Does describe IVF as costly and invasive. Includes comment about legality of gender selection for purposes other than to avoid a sex-linked genetic disease.

ETAYA:

This is actually starting to bother me (yeah, I know. Just starting? You blogged, you added, and _now_ it's starting to bother you? Why were you posting initially? For the same reason I post about almost anything -- a compulsive need to opine. And at least here, there's reason to believe someone is interested in my opinion.).

http://www.fertilityneighborhood.com/content/in_the_news/archive_1302.aspx

So _that's_ from about 3 years ago, showing elevated birth defect risks for IVF and IUI. And they're still trying to downplay it, mostly by saying, hey, if the IUI had been higher than IVF, we'd have known it was something about infertility that was the problem (that doesn't follow at all, to my mind -- it would just indicate that something about the IUI procedure per se had more of a problem than the IVF procedure per se; the transfer associated with IVF looks a little different than IUI but I'm no fertility expert). Because natural is lowest, IUI next and then IVF, they're still hedging. The article also _assumes_ that people undergoing IVF are doing so because of infertility, which is not the assumption when people start talking about making a Perfect Baby.

Finally, and I think this is what really startled me, was this claim:

[start quote]While the findings do not necessarily suggest that there's a relationship between ART and birth defects, it's important to address because nearly 1 percent of all children born in the United States are conceived using in vitro fertilization, explained Brad Van Voorhis, MD, a professor of Reproductive Endocrinology at the university, and the study's lead researcher.[end quote]

I was surprised. Were you?

ETAOMT:

http://bioethicsdiscussion.blogspot.com/2008/10/art-of-getting-pregnant-benefits-vs.html

Here's a link to an article about women waiting due to career and then having trouble getting pregnant and, in the US and some other places, having multiple embryos transferred (oh, yeah, _that's_ been in the news lately) to get pregnant with at least one as quickly as possible. The language in the blog strongly suggests that the multiples issue is the primary risk. What I'm picking at, however, does not appear to have anything to do with multiples, per se, but with something else in the IVF process -- and possibly in IUI as well. And I'm sticking to my initial assertion here. Someone should be highlighting this risk when they're talking about the bioethics of ART.
walkitout: (Default)
A little social networking moment. I have some friends and family over on Facebook, so I'm over there. I got rid of Friendster because the ads were killing me. LinkedIn and Geni mostly just clutter up my e-mail inbox but are otherwise largely undemanding. Something-or-other occasionally sends me birthday reminders; I forget what. I don't recall right now why I signed up on twitter, but once I hooked LJ up to Facebook so my Facebook friends wouldn't have to log into LJ, it made sense to do what R. did and hook twitter up to LJ. And then, because a _whole_ lot of people suggested I join Plaxo, I figured I'd go over and hook that in, too.

And now I'm sitting here going, hmmm. Did I get all the anonymizing settings right, or have I just done a stupid.
walkitout: (Default)
Doctors get paid for procedures. Just keep repeating that. That's what's really wrong here.

I posted a link to a bioethics blogger. In that article was a link to this article:

http://virtualmentor.ama-assn.org/2008/10/pfor2-0810.html

Which starts out really bad (I don't currently know where it ends because I can't get there yet.
It's too painful.). It's all over the we're better at taking care of preemies because of
surfactant therapy and blah blah bleeping blah. Never mind this:

http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=2133345

I mean, some people down south figured out about kangaroo care 30 years ago and beat our preemie rates hands down with it. But that's not okay in our medical system. Nooooo. That might lead to co-sleeping and we know how the AMA feels about that.

*sigh*

Anyway. Back to virtual mentor, they do not include the standard disclaimer on comparing preemie rates internationally.

[Start quote]Do U.S. hospitals want to decrease NICU stay? While in most areas of pediatrics, frequency and duration of hospitalization have decreased over several years, NICU admissions have gone up mainly because of the increase in prematurity. According to pediatrician and ethicist John Lantos, "NICUs have become the economic engine that keeps children's hospitals running [10]." Lantos adds, "It almost seems as if society, by some mechanism, is working against health to produce more and more low-birth-weight babies, and that medicine is then working against society, desperately trying to patch the wounds caused by some nameless thing that is forcing our babies from the womb too soon [11]."[End quote]

Okay, it's not "society" or "some mechanism", it's basic accounting. You said NICUs are where they're making all the money. You could have perfect births of perfect babies 100% of the time. They'd just set the bar for sticking the kid in the NICU in a different place if they need kids in the NICU to pay the bills. Duh. Of course, normally we only do drastically evil stuff if we're really desperate, e.g. have to feed a kid who will otherwise go hungry. Hospital administrators, clearly, are made of sterner stuff.

The article has some merit, but I really think they missed the point. Yeah, sure. Limit number of embryos transferred. Whatever. But if you want to fix that NICU problem, that won't do it. Other countries don't have overuse of NICUs because in other countries NICUs aren't a profit center.

I should quit reading about this. It's just upsetting me. But I _really_ think I'm right that there's a completely screwy missing component to the Making a Perfect Baby rhetoric. People should be talking a lot more about the technical risks associated with IVF and other ARTs. And no one is.
walkitout: (Default)
http://www.themedguru.com/articles/art_may_increase_birth_defects_study-86120355.html

Looks like the most recent study separated out the multiples issue, comparing singletons conceived via ART to singletons conceived the old-fashioned way.

Good quote here:

[Start quote]“Today, more than 1 percent of infants are conceived through ART i.e. i.e. a term referring to methods used to achieve pregnancy by artificial or partially artificial means and this number may continue to increase,” says Jennita Reefhuis, Ph.D., epidemiologist at CDC?s National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities. “While the risk is low, it is still important for parents who are considering using ART to think about all of the potential risks and benefits of this technology.”[End quote]

Nicely captured. I now want to see the trend line on percentage of births in the US conceived through ART.

ETA: Holy moly. This article is bad:

http://scienceline.org/2009/02/09/health-pittman-ivf-birth-defects-fertility/

But check this statistic out:

[Start quote] All ART procedures are rare, accounting for only about three percent of infertility services[End quote]

What fraction of the people trying to get pregnant in any given year are resorting to infertility treatment to accomplish that goal? I thought I knew a bunch simply because I'm old enough to have a lot of friends dealing with age-related fertility problems. Now I'm starting to wonder.

ETABBBB: A lot of these articles are downplaying the issue by saying the absolute risk is still low. (Why don't they say that when they're trying to medicate 8 year olds for high cholesterol? No, really. Why?) They often follow up by saying something like, Most IVF kids are normal. Well, you could have a 49% risk of birth defects and that statement would still be true. Not very comforting at 49%. One wonders where between no elevated risk and 49% of kids have a problem is the line.

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